Against the backdrop of Middle Eastern instability, a growing European migration crisis, unprecedented global debt levels, and a darkening outlook for global economic growth, Steven presents a concept to help understand the structure of our future.  His analysis builds on an article published in 2013 for the Russian International Affairs Council, and on original science set out in in draft paper for the Royal Society. Included amongst his conclusions is the prediction of a 24% reduction in global GDP by 2030, together with preliminary thoughts about the geopolitical consequences therein.

Steven Jermy is a Chartered Marine Technologist, an energy, economics & environmental analyst, and the author of Strategy for Action: Using force wisely in the 21st Century. In his first career, as a naval aviator and warship captain, his senior appointments included Captain 5th Destroyer Squadron, Commodore Fleet Air Arm, Principal Staff Officer to the Chief of Defence Staff, and Strategy Director in the British Embassy in Afghanistan. Since leaving the navy in 2010, he has specialised in tidal energy, but also acts as an energy market analyst for his company, Mojo Maritime Ltd, one of world’s leading offshore renewable energy consultancies. Steve has a first degree in Applied Maths & Physical Oceanography from University of Bangor, an MPhil in International Relations from University of Cambridge, and is a Fellow of both the Nautical Institute and of the Institute of Marine Engineers, Scientists and Technologists. He and his wife, Catherine, a Zimbabwean, live in Flushing, near Falmouth in Cornwall.

This event is open to the public and a light lunch will be served outside the seminar room at 12.50pm